Disclaimer
• Your life and health are your own responsibility.
• Your decisions to act (or not act) based on information or advice anyone provides you—including me—are your own responsibility.

Categories

Rugby, Macrame, and Monster Suits

“I’ve read many fantasy novels containing non-human societies. Usually the descriptions are simply unworkable: ‘Who feeds all these warriors ?’ often comes to mind. Of the remainder, most authors seem to concentrate on the details of the power structure, with a sidelong mention of one sport and one artistic or craft skill to typify the race (‘the Threngia enjoy bufwa, a sport similar to rugby, and macrame’). Only rarely do I receive any description that causes me to feel as if I’m learning about anything other than an obscure human tribal culture, tarted up in monster suits.”
-doubletime, from the gnolls.org forums

This is a great quote, and I expect I will steal parts of it in the future.

When The Conclusions Don't Match The Headlines (Or The Data): Michael Benton Is Wrong, and Darwin Is Still Right

This article trumpets a startling lead: “Charles Darwin may have been wrong when he argued that competition was the major driving force of evolution.”
“Space is the final frontier for evolution, study claims” -BBC News

Professor Michael Benton of Bristol University makes his pot-stirring mission abundantly clear by stating outright “Competition did not play a big role in the overall pattern of evolution.”

This conclusion is not supported by the original paper (written by his grad students) or its data, and I feel comfortable saying that Professor Benton is deliberately misrepresenting modern evolutionary theory in order to create fake controversy and gain publicity for himself.

This is a bold statement, so I will back it up.

The abstract of the original paper can be found here:
Biol Lett. 2010 Aug 23;6(4):544-7. Links between global taxonomic diversity, ecological diversity and the expansion of vertebrates on land. Sahney S, Benton MJ, Ferry PA.

Sahney et. al. conclude: “These groups [amphibians, reptiles, and mammals] have driven ecological diversity by expansion and contraction of occupied ecospace, rather than by direct competition within existing ecospace and each group has used ecospace at a greater rate than their predecessors.”

That is a much less startling piece of information than “Darwin may have been wrong!” To quote the BBC article, “The new study proposes that really big evolutionary changes happen when animals move into empty areas of living space, not occupied by other animals.”

But what happens after the animals arrive? And why are they moving into new empty areas in the first place?

The answer: competition.

First, competition is why animals move into empty niches (“ecospaces” is apparently the trendy new term) in the first place. If animals weren’t competing for scarce resources, they wouldn’t move into new niches when they became available: they’d simply stay where they are. As Professor Stearns put it so eloquently when tasked with the token skeptical quote, “What is the impetus to occupy new portions of ecological space if not to avoid competition with the species in the space already occupied?”

Second, when plants or animals expand into a new niche, the short-term effect is indeed that the level of competition drops, and many individuals survive who would not have survived before. (Example: It’s not useful to be a lion in a world with T. Rex and Utahraptor, so mammals remained small—but once the dinosaurs died, mammals could become larger and more predatory without immediate penalty.) However, this is a temporary situation, and soon the new ecospace fills with animals—albeit with more variations than before. Then, as the new ecospace fills up, selection pressure becomes greater again, the unfit variations perish, and the fit variations survive.

If there were no competition, there would be no speciation at all, because there would be no differential survival…just a slowly diffusing cloud of randomly varying animals. Furthermore, since there are far more unsuccessful variations than successful variations, the selection pressure of competition directs variation into useful phenotypes—actually increasing the rate of evolutionary change as each generation is selected for more successful adaptation to their new ecospace.

Finally, let us examine the notion of “ecospace”. (A word synonymous with “niche” in the existing literature.) What is an “ecospace”, anyway, and what defines it? Part of it is inanimate geological features: rivers, oceans, mountains, rocks. But most of an ecospace is…other creatures. On land, an ecospace contains soil microbes, fungi, flora, worms, and nematodes. It contains grasses, bushes, trees, fungi, ferns, vines, mosses, and lichens. It contains insects, snakes, rodents, birds, cats, dogs, apes, and all manner of crawling, digging, hopping, tunneling, and flying creatures.

As Richard Dawkins explains very clearly in his masterwork “The Extended Phenotype“, the expression of an animal’s genes go beyond its physical body. A termite nest is just as much an expression of termite genes as the termite’s legs or head. A beaver’s dam is an expression of beaver genes, herding and grazing behavior is an expression of antelope genes, forests are an expression of tree genes, and roads and cities are expressions of human genes. In short, an “ecospace” is, in large part, an expression of the genes of the organisms that live in it.

Therefore, it is meaningless to speak of “expansion and contraction of ecospace” in the passive voice, as if this has nothing to do with the actions and consequent differential survival (i.e. competition) of the creatures within it. Yes, change can be imposed from without by asteroids or glaciers…but it can also be imposed by a change in the other living things that make up the ecospace. To pick the most obvious example, humans have dramatically changed the ecospace of the Earth, most particularly over the last 10,000 years since the advent of agriculture.

In conclusion, we can easily see that diversity is indeed increased by changes in ecospace—but only as long as the underlying mechanism of Darwinian competition remains.

Furthermore, we can easily see that Professor Benton’s claim that “Competition did not play a big role in the overall pattern of evolution” is nonsense.

The Myth that Economic Success Requires Personal Freedom

There is a persistent myth that democracy and personal freedom are necessary to produce economic growth, and that the USA will somehow retain its economic dominance solely because of our relative degree of personal freedom. (This myth is most commonly known as ‘The Power of American Ingenuity.’)

I don’t believe this is the case. Left to themselves, people decide at some point that free time and their own sports, hobbies, or other non-productive pursuits are worth more to them than an extra quarter point of GDP.

However, if the governing class restricts personal freedom sufficiently, then economic success is the only personal freedom left, and people will pursue it because it’s all they have. This is why countries like China and Singapore actively restrict personal freedom: it’s actually counterproductive to the goal of boundless exponential economic growth to let people enjoy themselves.

If the environment is sufficiently polluted and destroyed, people won’t want to do unproductive things like go outside. If people have no freedom to act politically, they won’t waste time on unproductive pursuits like political activism. If people have no freedom to do anything but work and shop until they die of environmentally-caused cancer, they’ll work and shop, maximizing GDP, and require expensive cancer treatment, maximizing GDP and minimizing that awkward unproductive time between retirement and death.

Countries like China and Singapore have broken the illusion that personal freedom is necessary for economic success. (And, therefore, political success—having the best technology and the most surplus economic capacity to have the biggest, best-armed military in the world is what has made the USA dominant in world politics.)

This blog post summarizes a Robert Barro essay that appears to corroborate my thesis: the rule of law is most important for economic growth, regardless of personal freedom. Democracy is a much smaller determinant…and it turns out that too much democracy is just as detrimental to economic growth as too little.

This leaves us with a question:

If personal freedom is not the most efficient way to achieve economic success—and personal freedom is more important to us than the final increment of economic success that losing some of our freedom brings—then how do we maintain independence against more efficient entities?

(We see a practical application of this problem every time a happy, peaceful native tribe is slaughtered or dispossessed in order to drill for oil or mine for metal. The tribe members are much happier than the mine workers who replace them—or even the mining company owners—but they are helpless to prevent their own slaughter.)